Healthy overweight and obesity in the young: Prevalence and risk of major adverse cardiovascular events

Aims: To investigate the prevalence of metabolically healthy overweight/obesity and to study its longitudinal association with major adverse cardiovascular and renal events (MARCE). Methods and results: The study was conducted in 1210 young-to-middle-age subjects grouped according to their BMI and metabolic status. The risk of MARCE was evaluated during 17.4 years of follow-up. Forty-eight-percent of the participants had normal weight, 41.9% had overweight, and 9.3% had obesity. Metabolically healthy status was found in 31.1% of subjects with normal weight and in 20.0% of those with overweight/obesity. During the follow-up, there were 108 MARCE. In multivariate Cox analysis adjusted for confounders and risk factors, no association was found between MARCE and overweight/obesity (p = 0.49). In contrast, metabolic status considered as a two-class variable (0 versus at least one metabolic abnormality) was a significant predictor of MARCE (HR, 2.11; 95%CI, 1.21–3.70, p = 0.009). Exclusion of atrial fibrillation from MARCE (N = 87) provided similar results (HR, 2.11; 95%CI, 1.07–4.16, p = 0.030). Inclusion of average 24 h BP in the regression model attenuated the strength of the associations. Compared to the group with healthy metabolic status, the metabolically unhealthy overweight/obesity participants had an increased risk of MARCE with an adjusted HR of 2.33 (95%CI, 1.05–5.19, p = 0.038). Among the metabolically healthy individuals, the CV risk did not differ according to BMI group (p = 0.53). Conclusion: The present data show that the risk of MARCE is not increased in young metabolically healthy overweight/obesity suggesting that the clinical approach to people with high BMI should focus on parameters of metabolic health rather than on BMI.