We address the issue of divergent maximum likelihood estimates for logistic regression models by considering a conjugate prior penalty which always produces finite estimates. We show that the proposed method is closely related to the reduced-bias approach of Firth (1993), and that the induced penalized likelihood can be expressed as a genuine binomial likelihood, replacing the original data with pseudo-counts.

Conjugate priors and bias reduction for logistic regression models

Aliverti E.
2023

Abstract

We address the issue of divergent maximum likelihood estimates for logistic regression models by considering a conjugate prior penalty which always produces finite estimates. We show that the proposed method is closely related to the reduced-bias approach of Firth (1993), and that the induced penalized likelihood can be expressed as a genuine binomial likelihood, replacing the original data with pseudo-counts.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11577/3492762
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