In some problems of practical interest, a standard Bayesian analysis can be difficult to perform. This is true, for example, when the class of sampling parametric models is unknown or if robustness with respect to data or to model misspecifications is required. These situations can be usefully handled by using a posterior distribution for the parameter of interest which is based on a pseudo-likelihood function derived from estimating equations, i.e. on a quasi-likelihood, and on a suitable prior distribution. The aim of this paper is to propose and discuss the construction of a default prior distribution for a scalar parameter of interest to be used together with a quasi-likelihood function. We show that the proposed default prior can be interpreted as a Jeffreys-type prior, since it is proportional to the square-root of the expected information derived from the quasi-likelihood. The frequentist coverage of the credible regions, based on the proposed procedure, is studied through Monte Carlo simulations in the context of robustness theory and of generalized linear models with overdispersion.
Default prior distributions from quasi- and quasi-profile likelihoods.
Ventura, Laura;Racugno, Walter
2009
Abstract
In some problems of practical interest, a standard Bayesian analysis can be difficult to perform. This is true, for example, when the class of sampling parametric models is unknown or if robustness with respect to data or to model misspecifications is required. These situations can be usefully handled by using a posterior distribution for the parameter of interest which is based on a pseudo-likelihood function derived from estimating equations, i.e. on a quasi-likelihood, and on a suitable prior distribution. The aim of this paper is to propose and discuss the construction of a default prior distribution for a scalar parameter of interest to be used together with a quasi-likelihood function. We show that the proposed default prior can be interpreted as a Jeffreys-type prior, since it is proportional to the square-root of the expected information derived from the quasi-likelihood. The frequentist coverage of the credible regions, based on the proposed procedure, is studied through Monte Carlo simulations in the context of robustness theory and of generalized linear models with overdispersion.File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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