Motivated by analysis of the distribution of university grades, which is usually asymmetric, we discuss two informative priors for the shape parameter of skew-normal distribution, showing that they lead to closed-form full-conditional posterior distributions, particularly useful in MCMC computation. Gibbs sam- pling algorithms are discussed for the joint vector of parameters, given independent prior distributions for the location and scale parameters. Simulation studies are performed to assess the performance of Gibbs samplers and to compare the choice of informative priors against a non-informative ones. The method is used to anal- yse the grades of the basic statistics examination of the first-year undergraduate students at the School of Economics, University of Padua, Italy.

Informative Bayesian inference for skew-normal distribution

CANALE, ANTONIO;SCARPA, BRUNO
2012

Abstract

Motivated by analysis of the distribution of university grades, which is usually asymmetric, we discuss two informative priors for the shape parameter of skew-normal distribution, showing that they lead to closed-form full-conditional posterior distributions, particularly useful in MCMC computation. Gibbs sam- pling algorithms are discussed for the joint vector of parameters, given independent prior distributions for the location and scale parameters. Simulation studies are performed to assess the performance of Gibbs samplers and to compare the choice of informative priors against a non-informative ones. The method is used to anal- yse the grades of the basic statistics examination of the first-year undergraduate students at the School of Economics, University of Padua, Italy.
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11577/2531620
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