In this paper we propose an innovation diffusion framework to analyze and forecast national adoption patterns of photovoltaic installed capacity. Comparisons are proposed among several countries in order to highlight the effect of incentive policies. Results seem to suggest that the current available PV technology is going to complete its life cycle and that new solutions for solar energy should become available in the short term.
Cross-country diffusion of photovoltaic systems: modelling choices and forecasts for national adoption patterns
GUIDOLIN, MARIANGELA;MORTARINO, CINZIA
2007
Abstract
In this paper we propose an innovation diffusion framework to analyze and forecast national adoption patterns of photovoltaic installed capacity. Comparisons are proposed among several countries in order to highlight the effect of incentive policies. Results seem to suggest that the current available PV technology is going to complete its life cycle and that new solutions for solar energy should become available in the short term.
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